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PMI-RMP · Question #384

In the country where a project is being executed, customs procedures are complex and change frequently. During the risk identification process, the project team identifies a risk related to delays in

The correct answer is D. High probability/high impact. Both dimensions independently point to 'high.' The scenario states customs procedures 'change frequently,' making delays a likely recurring issue-high probability. It also states equipment delays 'could lead to project cancellation,' which is the most severe outcome possible-high

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Question

In the country where a project is being executed, customs procedures are complex and change frequently. During the risk identification process, the project team identifies a risk related to delays in customs on substantial equipment that will likely occur. Equipment delays on this project could lead to the project cancellation. How should the probability and impact be characterized for this risk?

Options

  • ALow probability/low impact
  • BHigh probability/low impact
  • CLow probability/high impact
  • DHigh probability/high impact

How the community answered

(31 responses)
  • A
    6% (2)
  • B
    10% (3)
  • C
    3% (1)
  • D
    81% (25)

Explanation

Both dimensions independently point to 'high.' The scenario states customs procedures 'change frequently,' making delays a likely recurring issue-high probability. It also states equipment delays 'could lead to project cancellation,' which is the most severe outcome possible-high impact. When a risk has both a strong likelihood of occurring and a catastrophic consequence if it does, it is classified as high probability/high impact and would sit in the top-right quadrant of a probability-impact matrix, demanding the most aggressive risk response strategy.

Topics

#Qualitative Risk Analysis#Probability Assessment#Impact Assessment#Risk Characterization

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