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PMI-RMP · Question #256

Shelly is the project manager of the BUF project for her company. In this project Shelly needs to establish some rules to reduce the influence of risk bias during the qualitative risk analysis process

The correct answer is D. Establish definitions of the level of probability and impact of risk event. Establishing predefined, agreed-upon definitions for probability and impact levels standardizes risk scoring and is the primary method for reducing bias in qualitative risk analysis.

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Question

Shelly is the project manager of the BUF project for her company. In this project Shelly needs to establish some rules to reduce the influence of risk bias during the qualitative risk analysis process. What method can Shelly take to best reduce the influence of risk bias?

Options

  • AGroup stakeholders according to positive and negative stakeholders and then complete the
  • BDetermine the risk root cause rather than the person identifying the risk events
  • CEstablish risk boundaries
  • DEstablish definitions of the level of probability and impact of risk event

How the community answered

(47 responses)
  • A
    17% (8)
  • B
    4% (2)
  • C
    6% (3)
  • D
    72% (34)

Why each option

Establishing predefined, agreed-upon definitions for probability and impact levels standardizes risk scoring and is the primary method for reducing bias in qualitative risk analysis.

AGroup stakeholders according to positive and negative stakeholders and then complete the

Grouping stakeholders by attitude addresses stakeholder engagement strategy, not the standardization of risk scoring criteria that reduces assessment bias.

BDetermine the risk root cause rather than the person identifying the risk events

Identifying root causes helps ensure completeness during risk identification but does not standardize the measurement scales used to score probability and impact.

CEstablish risk boundaries

Establishing risk boundaries defines the scope of what qualifies as a project risk but does not address how those risks are measured or rated consistently.

DEstablish definitions of the level of probability and impact of risk eventCorrect

When all participants use the same explicit scale definitions - for example, 'high probability means 70-90%' - risks are scored against objective criteria rather than personal judgment, eliminating the influence of individual bias or the reputation of the person identifying the risk. This standardization is the technique recommended by PMBOK to ensure consistent and repeatable results across all team members and stakeholders. Without these definitions, different assessors will apply different interpretations of the same probability or impact level.

Concept tested: Reducing bias in qualitative risk analysis through scale definitions

Topics

#Qualitative risk analysis#Risk bias reduction#Probability and impact definition#Risk assessment objectivity

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