The project's customer has stated the project must be completed by a date indicated as the P90 date established on the Monte Carlo analysis. What should the project manager do to ensure the P90 date…

Question

Options

• AUpdate the assumptions/exclusions register
• BHire more resources and crash the schedule
• CPerform a qualitative risk analysis for the project
• DMitigate risks identified on the sensitivity analysis

• A
  6% (2)
• B
  9% (3)
• C
  15% (5)
• D
  71% (24)

Explanation

A P90 date from a Monte Carlo simulation means there is a 90% probability the project will finish by that date. To protect this high-confidence date, the project manager must reduce the threats most likely to push the schedule past it. Sensitivity analysis (often visualized as a tornado diagram) identifies which risks have the greatest impact on schedule variance-those are the ones to mitigate first. Option A (updating the assumptions register) is administrative and does not directly protect the date. Option B (crashing the schedule) is a cost-intensive technique not justified solely by a Monte Carlo result. Option C (qualitative risk analysis) has likely already been done and provides prioritization, not the targeted action needed to meet the P90 date.

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