PMI-RMP · Question #251
Frank is the project manager of the NHQ project for his company. Frank is working with the project team, key stakeholders, and several subject matter experts on risks dealing with the new materials in
The correct answer is C. Quantitative risk analysis process. Quantitative risk analysis uses numerical methods and modeling to support decision-making in the presence of uncertainty, making it the right choice for Frank's situation with unfamiliar materials.
Question
Frank is the project manager of the NHQ project for his company. Frank is working with the project team, key stakeholders, and several subject matter experts on risks dealing with the new materials in the project. Frank wants to utilize a risk analysis method that will help the team to make decisions in the presence of the current uncertainty surrounding the new materials. Which risk analysis approach can Frank use to create an approach to make decisions in the presence of uncertainty?
Options
- AMonte Carlo Technique
- BQualitative risk analysis process
- CQuantitative risk analysis process
- DDelphi Technique
How the community answered
(23 responses)- A13% (3)
- B4% (1)
- C74% (17)
- D9% (2)
Why each option
Quantitative risk analysis uses numerical methods and modeling to support decision-making in the presence of uncertainty, making it the right choice for Frank's situation with unfamiliar materials.
Monte Carlo Technique is a tool used within quantitative risk analysis, not a standalone risk analysis approach or process.
Qualitative risk analysis prioritizes risks using descriptive probability and impact scales but does not produce the numerical decision support needed when facing uncertainty.
Quantitative risk analysis applies numerical techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, decision tree analysis, and sensitivity analysis to model the combined effects of identified risks and produce probabilistic estimates of project outcomes. This process specifically helps teams make decisions under uncertainty by quantifying the likelihood of achieving cost and schedule objectives. It is the PMBOK-recognized process for translating uncertainty into actionable numerical guidance.
The Delphi Technique is a method for gathering and converging expert opinions anonymously, not a process for making decisions under uncertainty.
Concept tested: Quantitative risk analysis for decision-making under uncertainty
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