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PHR · Question #33

what nonmathematical forecasting technique uses rounds of anonymous surveys among participants to determine consensus on the direction of employment trends, candidate selection, or other forecasting t

The correct answer is A. Delphi Technique. The Delphi Technique is a structured, iterative forecasting method using anonymous expert surveys to build consensus without the influence of dominant personalities or group pressure.

Business Management

Question

what nonmathematical forecasting technique uses rounds of anonymous surveys among participants to determine consensus on the direction of employment trends, candidate selection, or other forecasting topics?

Options

  • ADelphi Technique
  • BQualitative forecast
  • CManagement forecast
  • DTrend analysis

How the community answered

(28 responses)
  • A
    82% (23)
  • B
    11% (3)
  • C
    4% (1)
  • D
    4% (1)

Why each option

The Delphi Technique is a structured, iterative forecasting method using anonymous expert surveys to build consensus without the influence of dominant personalities or group pressure.

ADelphi TechniqueCorrect

The Delphi Technique specifically involves multiple rounds of anonymous questionnaires distributed to a panel of experts, with aggregated results fed back to participants each round until consensus emerges. It is nonmathematical and prevents conformity bias by keeping all participants anonymous throughout the process, making it ideal for sensitive HR topics such as employment trend forecasting or candidate selection criteria.

BQualitative forecast

Qualitative forecast is a broad umbrella category encompassing many methods, not a specific technique defined by anonymous iterative survey rounds.

CManagement forecast

Management forecast relies on the informed judgment and experience of individual managers rather than structured, anonymous multi-round expert surveys.

DTrend analysis

Trend analysis uses historical data patterns to project future conditions and does not involve surveying participants for consensus.

Concept tested: Delphi Technique in HR workforce forecasting

Topics

#Delphi Technique#qualitative forecasting#workforce planning#consensus methods

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