A risk practitioner's BEST guidance to help an organization develop relevant risk scenarios is to ensure the scenarios are:

Aligning with capabilities is important for *responding* to risks, but it doesn't define the relevance or realism of the *scenario itself*.

While industry trends can inform potential risks, basing scenarios *solely* on them might not reflect the specific and probable risks unique to an organization's context.

Relevant risk scenarios should focus on probable events to ensure they address realistic threats and vulnerabilities the organization might encounter, making risk assessment and mitigation efforts more effective and practical. Scenarios based on probable events allow for a more accurate assessment of potential impact and likelihood, guiding the development of appropriate risk responses.

Mapping to incident response plans is a downstream activity *after* scenarios are developed and assessed; it does not define their initial relevance.