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CBAP · Question #186

Which of the following techniques involves attempting to make and numerically determine the probability of various adverse events and measuring the likely extent of the losses?

The correct answer is D. Quantitative risk analysis. Quantitative risk analysis uses numerical methods to determine the probability and financial impact of identified risks, distinguishing it from qualitative approaches that use subjective scales.

Strategy Analysis

Question

Which of the following techniques involves attempting to make and numerically determine the probability of various adverse events and measuring the likely extent of the losses?

Options

  • ARisk analysis
  • BQualitative risk analysis
  • CRisk assessment
  • DQuantitative risk analysis

How the community answered

(19 responses)
  • A
    5% (1)
  • B
    5% (1)
  • C
    11% (2)
  • D
    79% (15)

Why each option

Quantitative risk analysis uses numerical methods to determine the probability and financial impact of identified risks, distinguishing it from qualitative approaches that use subjective scales.

ARisk analysis

Risk analysis is a general umbrella term for examining risks and does not specifically imply numerical or probabilistic measurement methods.

BQualitative risk analysis

Qualitative risk analysis prioritizes risks using subjective scales such as high, medium, or low rather than assigning specific numerical probabilities or financial values.

CRisk assessment

Risk assessment broadly refers to identifying and evaluating risks without implying a strictly numerical or probabilistic methodology.

DQuantitative risk analysisCorrect

Quantitative risk analysis numerically analyzes the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives by assigning numerical probability values and monetary impact estimates to risk events. This technique uses methods such as Monte Carlo simulation and decision tree analysis to produce measurable outputs like expected monetary value, allowing objective comparison of risk severity and potential loss.

Concept tested: Quantitative risk analysis numerical probability measurement

Source: https://www.pmi.org/pmbok-guide-standards/foundational/pmbok

Topics

#quantitative risk analysis#risk probability#numerical risk#risk measurement

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