CAP · Question #168
Ned is the project manager of the HNN project for your company. Ned has asked you to help him complete some probability distributions for his project. What portion of the project will you most…
The correct answer is A. Uncertainty in values such as duration of schedule activities. Probability distributions (e.g., triangular, beta/PERT, normal distributions) are used in quantitative risk analysis to represent uncertainty in continuous variables such as activity durations, resource costs, or quantities. They define the range of possible values and the…
Question
Ned is the project manager of the HNN project for your company. Ned has asked you to help him complete some probability distributions for his project. What portion of the project will you most likely use for probability distributions?
Options
- AUncertainty in values such as duration of schedule activities
- BBias towards risk in new resources
- CRisk probabilityand impact matrixes
- DRisk identification
How the community answered
(18 responses)- A89% (16)
- C6% (1)
- D6% (1)
Explanation
Probability distributions (e.g., triangular, beta/PERT, normal distributions) are used in quantitative risk analysis to represent uncertainty in continuous variables such as activity durations, resource costs, or quantities. They define the range of possible values and the likelihood of each outcome. Tools like Monte Carlo simulation sample from these distributions thousands of times to produce a probability distribution of overall project cost or schedule outcomes. They are not used for probability-impact matrices (Choice C, which is qualitative), risk identification (Choice D), or resource bias assessments (Choice B).
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